Bias and Asymmetric Loss in Expert Forecasts: A Study of Physician Prognostic Behavior with Respect to Patient Survival
Journal of Health Economics
http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/?term=Bias%20and%20Asymmetric%20Loss%20in%20Expert%20Forecasts%3A%20A%20Study%20of%20Physician%20Prognostic%20Behavior%20with%20Respect%20to%20Patient%20Survival